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Red51
6413.3
6019.4
33015.3
Blue10
8015.1
36815.8
39915.3
50%Model gave it50%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47471020304060705110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60
Unranked
19.40.5
18.919.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
368
Unranked
15.80.5
16.315.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
330
Unranked
15.30.5
14.815.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
399
Unranked
15.30.8
16.115.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
64
Unranked
13.30.5
12.713.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
80
Unranked
15.10.8
15.915.1
Auto
Teleop
End