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Red32
70210.9
96813.0
Blue34
59110.3
69112.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2424102030403234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
968
Unranked
13.01.1
13.012.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
691
Unranked
12.60.1
12.112.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
702
Unranked
10.91.4
10.512.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
591
Unranked
10.31.9
10.312.2
Auto
Teleop
End