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Red30
52414.3
59710.8
Blue32
99510.3
11411.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions281604060803032

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
524
Unranked
14.30.4
13.012.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
114
Unranked
11.10.4
8.18.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
597
Unranked
10.80.5
12.511.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
995
Unranked
10.30.5
10.711.3
Auto
Teleop
End