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Red20
9749.6
6989.3
Blue37
29410.4
98911.1
50%Model gave it50%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23235101520253035402037

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
974
Unranked
9.61.0
11.410.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
989
Unranked
11.11.0
11.912.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
698
Unranked
9.31.0
11.210.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
294
Unranked
10.41.0
11.612.6
Auto
Teleop
End