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Red48
86112.7
70111.9
Blue10
70011.9
8128.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22250501001502002504810

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
861
Unranked
12.71.9
12.714.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
700
Unranked
11.92.3
11.99.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
701
Unranked
11.92.0
10.312.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
812
Unranked
8.01.6
8.09.6
Auto
Teleop
End