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Red30
59810.8
70210.9
Blue20
69710.0
99210.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions212604060801001201401603020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
702
Unranked
10.90.8
10.511.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
992
Unranked
10.70.8
12.711.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
598
Unranked
10.80.8
11.412.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
697
Unranked
10.00.8
12.411.6
Auto
Teleop
End