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Red30
58514.0
99113.8
Blue15
70111.9
84810.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23250501001502002503015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
585
Unranked
14.01.0
12.013.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
701
Unranked
11.90.6
12.211.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
991
Unranked
13.81.0
11.212.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
848
Unranked
10.61.0
12.511.4
Auto
Teleop
End