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Red43
70210.9
6413.3
Blue31
84810.6
99510.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2323101520253035404331

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64
Unranked
13.30.5
11.111.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
848
Unranked
10.60.8
11.410.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
702
Unranked
10.90.8
11.312.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
995
Unranked
10.30.8
12.111.3
Auto
Teleop
End