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Red41
99113.8
59912.9
Blue15
9968.7
25611.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262001030405060704115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
991
Unranked
13.81.4
12.313.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
256
Unranked
11.40.8
11.310.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
599
Unranked
12.90.8
12.713.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
996
Unranked
8.71.4
9.68.2
Auto
Teleop
End