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Red30
2216.3
6879.9
Blue32
29510.0
37616.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27271520253035403032

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22
Unranked
16.30.1
16.516.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
376
Unranked
16.20.1
16.116.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
687
Unranked
9.90.1
10.09.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
295
Unranked
10.00.1
10.710.8
Auto
Teleop
End