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Red70
12117.3
6919.7
10315.2
Blue10
9512.9
50511.3
5018.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49310204060801001207010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69
Unranked
19.70.9
17.017.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.8
95
Unranked
12.90.6
13.512.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
121
Unranked
17.30.6
15.416.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.0
505
Unranked
11.30.6
11.911.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
103
Unranked
15.20.6
13.313.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.9
501
Unranked
8.40.9
9.38.4
Auto
Teleop
End