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Red35
17316.6
19516.6
8811.6
Blue1
3814.5
9614.8
24112.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454510203040506070351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173
Unranked
16.60.4
16.416.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
96
Unranked
14.80.6
16.115.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
195
Unranked
16.60.4
16.416.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
38
Unranked
14.50.6
15.915.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
88
Unranked
11.60.4
11.411.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
241
Unranked
12.30.7
13.713.1
Auto
Teleop
End