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Red30
28713.8
9711.7
Blue20
12611.0
31911.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22240501001502003020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
287
Unranked
13.80.4
11.311.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
126
Unranked
11.00.7
11.210.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
97
Unranked
11.70.4
10.911.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
319
Unranked
11.00.7
12.711.9
Auto
Teleop
End