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Red20
1779.5
18111.1
Blue30
19516.6
1785.9
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions222251015202530352030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181
Unranked
11.10.3
10.810.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.5
195
Unranked
16.60.3
16.817.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
177
Unranked
9.50.6
10.610.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
178
Unranked
5.90.6
5.86.4
Auto
Teleop
End