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Red22
17615.9
5588.3
Blue23
13311.9
5018.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions271904060801002223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
Unranked
15.90.2
16.916.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
133
Unranked
11.90.3
11.511.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
558
Unranked
8.30.4
8.68.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
501
Unranked
8.40.3
9.39.6
Auto
Teleop
End