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Red28
78213.5
25011.2
Blue42
34816.7
19516.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2039060801002842

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
782
Unranked
13.50.2
12.011.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
348
Unranked
16.70.1
19.019.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
250
Unranked
11.20.2
11.711.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.3
195
Unranked
16.60.1
15.815.9
Auto
Teleop
End