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Red42
56215.4
54614.0
Blue10
13412.4
14010.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2424010203040504210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
562
Unranked
15.42.0
11.913.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
134
Unranked
12.42.0
11.49.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
546
Unranked
14.02.0
12.314.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
140
Unranked
10.22.0
12.510.6
Auto
Teleop
End