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Red39
15113.5
46715.5
Blue32
23714.6
21315.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292801020405060703932

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
467
Unranked
15.50.3
14.414.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
213
Unranked
15.20.4
13.813.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
151
Unranked
13.50.4
14.514.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
237
Unranked
14.60.3
14.514.2
Auto
Teleop
End