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Red12
52112.9
34816.7
Blue43
12513.4
9614.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions351402060801001243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
348
Unranked
16.71.6
19.217.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
96
Unranked
14.82.7
9.111.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
521
Unranked
12.92.7
11.99.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
125
Unranked
13.41.6
9.010.6
Auto
Teleop
End