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Red40
5018.4
3814.5
Blue23
13111.4
2369.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22290501001504023

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38
Unranked
14.51.3
13.214.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
131
Unranked
11.41.3
14.312.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
501
Unranked
8.41.3
10.311.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
236
Unranked
9.31.3
13.712.3
Auto
Teleop
End