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Red30
46715.5
5588.3
Blue40
14512.4
23014.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2234060801001201403040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
467
Unranked
15.50.1
14.714.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
230
Unranked
14.90.1
15.715.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
558
Unranked
8.30.2
9.69.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
145
Unranked
12.40.1
16.216.3
Auto
Teleop
End