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Red44
57112.8
17316.6
Blue24
404.8
52112.9
63%Model gave it37%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions291504060801001204424

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173
Unranked
16.60.4
14.314.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
521
Unranked
12.90.7
9.28.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
571
Unranked
12.80.4
12.112.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.0
40
Unranked
4.80.7
8.67.9
Auto
Teleop
End