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Red49
13815.9
13111.4
Blue36
1785.9
46715.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2424102030404936

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
138
Unranked
15.90.8
10.711.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
467
Unranked
15.50.5
14.614.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
131
Unranked
11.40.8
12.913.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.5
178
Unranked
5.90.8
9.38.4
Auto
Teleop
End