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Red33
17615.9
14512.4
Blue31
15113.5
16610.6
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32270204060801003331

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
Unranked
15.90.0
15.014.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
151
Unranked
13.50.1
15.815.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
145
Unranked
12.40.0
16.316.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
166
Unranked
10.60.1
12.312.3
Auto
Teleop
End