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Red33
19516.6
13311.9
Blue32
23815.9
9711.7
63%Model gave it37%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions311804060801003332

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
Unranked
16.60.3
16.115.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
238
Unranked
15.93.4
15.912.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
133
Unranked
11.90.2
11.911.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
97
Unranked
11.70.3
8.79.0
Auto
Teleop
End