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Red40
13111.4
23014.9
Blue49
16610.6
12117.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31240204060804049

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
Unranked
14.90.5
16.315.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
121
Unranked
17.30.5
13.313.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
131
Unranked
11.40.8
13.812.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
166
Unranked
10.60.8
12.313.2
Auto
Teleop
End