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Red38
21315.2
29313.7
Blue30
4216.0
34816.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26320501001503830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
213
Unranked
15.20.8
12.112.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
348
Unranked
16.70.5
17.316.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
293
Unranked
13.70.5
15.015.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
42
Unranked
16.00.8
13.913.1
Auto
Teleop
End