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Red40
31911.0
46715.5
Blue40
17615.9
10315.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282810152025303540454040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
467
Unranked
15.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
176
Unranked
15.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
319
Unranked
11.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.2
103
Unranked
15.2
Auto
Teleop
End