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Red45
14010.2
17511.7
Blue30
25011.2
18111.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions311704060801004530

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
Unranked
11.70.3
16.216.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
250
Unranked
11.20.4
11.211.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
140
Unranked
10.22.3
10.212.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
181
Unranked
11.10.3
8.27.8
Auto
Teleop
End