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Red35
9512.9
13815.9
Blue33
50511.3
13311.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282204060801003533

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
138
Unranked
15.90.1
13.113.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
133
Unranked
11.90.1
11.411.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
95
Unranked
12.90.1
14.013.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
505
Unranked
11.30.1
11.711.8
Auto
Teleop
End