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Red20
15716.5
23014.9
23714.6
Blue42
12117.3
6919.7
10315.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484820304060702042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157
Unranked
16.50.3
17.116.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
69
Unranked
19.70.4
17.918.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
230
Unranked
14.90.3
15.415.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
121
Unranked
17.30.3
16.016.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
237
Unranked
14.60.3
15.214.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
103
Unranked
15.20.3
13.914.2
Auto
Teleop
End