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Red20
94514.8
31215.0
66511.0
Blue33
18615.3
34311.9
18019.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44442030405060702033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
312
Unranked
15.00.2
16.015.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.7
180
Unranked
19.80.2
18.819.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
945
Unranked
14.80.2
15.815.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
186
Unranked
15.30.2
14.314.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
665
Unranked
11.00.2
11.911.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
343
Unranked
11.90.2
11.011.2
Auto
Teleop
End