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Red56
34214.4
26717.7
31111.1
Blue0
41113.7
6114.5
7911.6
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40440206080100560

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
267
Unranked
17.71.0
17.017.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
61
Unranked
14.51.0
15.514.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
342
Unranked
14.41.0
13.714.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
411
Unranked
13.71.0
14.813.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
311
Unranked
11.11.0
10.311.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
79
Unranked
11.61.0
12.611.6
Auto
Teleop
End