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Red32
18615.3
34311.9
18019.8
Blue0
41511.3
23310.0
599.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4827020406080100320

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
Unranked
19.80.4
18.218.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.4
415
Unranked
11.30.4
11.711.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
186
Unranked
15.30.4
13.714.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
233
Unranked
10.00.4
10.310.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
343
Unranked
11.90.4
10.410.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
59
Unranked
9.80.4
10.29.8
Auto
Teleop
End