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Red51
1799.3
41511.3
Blue20
4085.5
8665.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2111030405060705120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
415
Unranked
11.31.4
10.411.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.8
408
Unranked
5.51.4
6.95.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
179
Unranked
9.31.4
8.19.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
866
Unranked
5.21.4
6.75.2
Auto
Teleop
End