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Red41
2114.9
10511.8
Blue20
3936.0
16813.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2722010405060704120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21
Unranked
14.90.9
14.014.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
168
Unranked
13.91.0
14.913.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
105
Unranked
11.81.0
12.012.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
393
Unranked
6.01.0
8.27.2
Auto
Teleop
End