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Red24
10511.8
31215.0
Blue20
68512.6
66511.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2523010203040502420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
312
Unranked
15.00.2
11.011.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
685
Unranked
12.60.2
12.011.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
105
Unranked
11.80.2
13.713.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
665
Unranked
11.00.2
11.511.3
Auto
Teleop
End