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Red30
10810.8
34311.9
Blue33
16813.9
23310.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions242701020304050603033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
Unranked
11.90.0
12.212.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
168
Unranked
13.90.0
13.413.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
108
Unranked
10.80.0
12.212.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
233
Unranked
10.00.0
13.213.2
Auto
Teleop
End