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Red30
34311.9
5889.9
Blue43
66511.0
2114.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2424010203040503043

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
Unranked
11.90.8
12.211.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
21
Unranked
14.90.8
12.513.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
588
Unranked
9.90.8
12.011.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
665
Unranked
11.00.8
11.312.1
Auto
Teleop
End