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Red35
31111.1
41113.7
Blue20
18615.3
5079.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2524010203040503520

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
411
Unranked
13.70.9
12.213.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
186
Unranked
15.30.9
13.412.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
311
Unranked
11.10.9
12.713.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
507
Unranked
9.80.9
10.89.9
Auto
Teleop
End