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Red39
27812.9
71015.7
Blue31
4085.5
83211.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2623010203040503931

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
710
Unranked
15.70.4
12.913.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
832
Unranked
11.90.4
13.913.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
278
Unranked
12.90.4
13.013.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.4
408
Unranked
5.50.4
9.89.4
Auto
Teleop
End