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Red10
38611.7
10511.8
Blue43
5712.9
41113.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28250102040501043

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
105
Unranked
11.82.2
14.812.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
411
Unranked
13.72.2
13.115.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
386
Unranked
11.72.2
13.110.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
57
Unranked
12.92.2
12.414.6
Auto
Teleop
End