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Red20
26717.7
5079.8
Blue19
3936.0
5828.8
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2518010203040502019

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
267
Unranked
17.70.3
14.614.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.0
582
Unranked
8.80.3
9.59.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
507
Unranked
9.80.3
9.79.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
393
Unranked
6.00.3
9.19.4
Auto
Teleop
End