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Red31
90110.4
8612.1
Blue10
599.8
34214.4
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19260103040503110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86
Unranked
12.11.6
11.012.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
342
Unranked
14.41.6
14.112.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
901
Unranked
10.41.6
9.411.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
59
Unranked
9.81.6
11.29.5
Auto
Teleop
End