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Red30
71015.7
34311.9
Blue40
41113.7
6114.5
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2432010204050603040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
710
Unranked
15.70.2
13.313.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
61
Unranked
14.50.2
15.916.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
343
Unranked
11.90.2
11.911.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
411
Unranked
13.70.2
15.315.6
Auto
Teleop
End