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Red32
14717.8
83211.9
Blue36
26717.7
41511.3
63%Model gave it37%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2924010204050603236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
147
Unranked
17.80.4
14.814.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
267
Unranked
17.70.4
15.315.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
832
Unranked
11.90.4
12.912.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
415
Unranked
11.30.4
9.610.1
Auto
Teleop
End