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Red42
26717.7
10511.8
Blue17
14717.8
5828.8
50%Model gave it50%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2424102030404217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
267
Unranked
17.74.1
17.713.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
147
Unranked
17.87.3
17.810.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
105
Unranked
11.81.9
11.813.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
582
Unranked
8.84.2
6.410.5
Auto
Teleop
End