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Red29
16813.9
94610.1
Blue20
10810.8
53812.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2328010204050602920

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
168
Unranked
13.90.7
14.214.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
538
Unranked
12.20.7
13.813.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
946
Unranked
10.10.7
9.910.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
108
Unranked
10.80.7
12.912.3
Auto
Teleop
End