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Red43
18019.8
18615.3
Blue37
54711.8
5712.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3624010203040506070804337

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
Unranked
19.80.0
20.120.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.8
57
Unranked
12.90.0
12.912.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
186
Unranked
15.30.0
12.612.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
547
Unranked
11.80.0
14.314.3
Auto
Teleop
End