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Red0
47012.7
56.7
24016.0
Blue20
24715.1
6819.8
27410.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3350020406080100120020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
240
Unranked
16.00.1
16.416.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.8
68
Unranked
19.80.1
20.120.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
470
Unranked
12.70.2
13.313.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
247
Unranked
15.10.1
15.315.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5
Unranked
6.70.2
7.27.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
274
Unranked
10.80.1
11.111.2
Auto
Teleop
End